7 Key Stats to Week 17’s Showdown
The NFL was smart to flex Week 17’s Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns snoozer out of Sunday Night time Soccer.
With 10 mixed wins, Dolphins-Browns was the NFL’s fourth-worst pairing of Christmas Week. So what is going to the few pockets of America subjected to this sport see starting at 4:05 p.m. Sunday?
Learn on for key stats from TruMedia, plus insights and betting data in PFN’s Browns vs. Dolphins preview.
Miami Dolphins-Cleveland Browns Recreation Preview
The Dolphins entered Week 17 needing a win and appreciable assist only for their common season finale towards the New York Jets to have any postseason that means.
However that doesn’t imply there’s nothing on the road on Sunday.
If the Dolphins win out, they may lengthen their streak of consecutive profitable seasons to 5. The Dolphins haven’t had 5 straight profitable seasons since 1997-2003.
The Browns, in the meantime, have locked of their ninth last-place divisional end in 14 seasons. They plan to start out third-string quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who should take care of the Dolphins’ No. 13 protection (per DEF+, 77.8) with a sore calf.
Final Time Out
The Dolphins beat the San Francisco 49ers 29-17 for his or her fifth win in seven video games.
De’Von Achane had his finest sport of the season (120 speeding yards, 70 receiving yards, and one TD) and desires simply 39 speeding yards in his ultimate two weeks to surpass 800 for the second straight season. Achane’s 1,340 yards from scrimmage account for 27.2% of the group’s offensive output.
The Browns, in the meantime, are in a freefall. After a 24-6 Week 16 loss vs. the Bengals, they’ve misplaced 4 or extra consecutive video games for the second time this season. Cleveland entered the season with Tremendous Bowl hopes however, because the calendar yr involves an finish, is only a sport higher than the New York Giants, who had the NFL’s worst document getting into Week 17.
Cleveland has scored 27 factors whole within the final three weeks. The Browns have scored 20 or extra factors thrice of their 15 video games.
Sequence Historical past
That is simply the twenty second all-time assembly — and tenth since 1993 — between the Dolphins and the Browns, which is shocking contemplating the collection started in 1970.
The Dolphins personal a 12-9 all-time edge, which features a 39-17 victory in 2022, the 2 groups’ most up-to-date assembly.
Betting Strains
The Browns as of Friday have been 6.5-point dwelling underdogs. The over/underneath was 39.5.
As for the moneylines? MIA -340 and CLE +270.
The betting public loves the Dolphins on this sport; 93% of the bets and 98% of the cash have been on Dolphins ML as of late within the week.
Seven Dolphins-Browns Stats From TruMedia
- Thompson-Robinson final week posted a 63.7 (D) QB+ grade, the eighth-worst sport by a Browns QB since 2019. Thompson-Robinson has solely had 5 profession qualifying video games (15+ cross makes an attempt), and but, he has three of the eight worst video games by a Browns QB since 2019.
- In 2022, Tua Tagovailoa averaged 9.6 air yards per throw. That price dropped to 7.6 final season and sits at 5.7 by 16 weeks this season.
- The Browns haven’t scored within the first, second, or fourth quarters in consecutive video games.
- Tyreek Hill doesn’t have a catch gaining greater than 30 yards since Week 1 and has caught simply 5 of 14 targets over the previous two weeks (Week 14 vs NYJ: 10 catches on 14 targets).
- The Dolphins have held their opponents out of the top zone within the majority of their red-zone journeys over their previous three video games (7 of 13).
- Solely two gamers in NFL historical past have reached 100 profession sacks in fewer video games than Myles Garrett (115): Reggie White (96) and DeMarcus Ware (113).
- Over the previous three weeks, 35.5% of Miami drives have resulted in a made subject purpose.
Browns vs. Dolphins Predictions
- Mike Wobschall (71.1% right on the season): Browns
- Kyle Soppe (67.9%): Dolphins
- Adam Beasley (66.3%): Dolphins
- David Bearman (63.3%): Dolphins
- Dan Tomaro (60.1%): Dolphins
The Dolphins win in 56.2% of Professional Soccer Community’s Playoff Predictor simulations.
For all Week 17 PFN Skilled Picks, click on right here.
