NFL Week 14 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, fantasy ideas
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NFL Nation, ESPN
The Week 14 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and now we have you coated with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend.
Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the largest keys to each sport, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis crew offers a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection and a have a look at the playoff image. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy soccer X components, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us last rating picks for each sport. Every little thing you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the total Week 14 slate, together with an NFC West battle between the Seahawks and Cardinals and Kirk Cousins‘ return to Minnesota. All of it ends with a “Monday Evening Soccer” matchup between the Bengals and Cowboys on ESPN. (Sport instances are Sunday except in any other case famous.)
Bounce to a matchup:
CLE-PIT | NYJ-MIA | ATL-MIN
NO-NYG | CAR-PHI | JAX-TEN
LV-TB | SEA-ARI | BUF-LAR
CHI-SF | LAC-KC | CIN-DAL
Thursday: DET 34, GB 31
Bye: BAL, DEN, HOU, IND, NE, WSH
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -6.5 (43.5 O/U)
Browns storyline to look at: Browns defensive finish Myles Garrett single-handedly wrecked the Steelers’ plans on offense within the crew’s Week 12 matchup, a Browns win. Garrett recorded three first-half sacks and a compelled fumble, which earned him Participant of the Week honors. Pittsburgh is bound to have a greater plan to restrict Garrett, who’s in search of a bounce-back sport after registering a season-low stress charge of three.8% within the Browns’ Week 13 loss to the Broncos. — Daniel Oyefusi
Steelers storyline to look at: The Steelers lead the league with 25 takeaways, together with three of their first matchup in opposition to Cleveland. In that sport, although, the Steelers managed solely seven factors off these takeaways. In his 5 video games because the Browns’ beginning quarterback, Jameis Winston has thrown 10 touchdowns to seven interceptions. The important thing to the Steelers avenging their Week 12 loss is capitalizing on these turnovers with extra factors. — Brooke Pryor
Stat to know: Cleveland hasn’t swept the regular-season collection with Pittsburgh since 1988 and is trying to win three straight conferences for the primary time since a seven-game run from 1986 to 1989.
Daring prediction: Steelers defensive deal with Keeanu Benton will report his first sack of the season. Benton’s 12% cross rush win charge at defensive deal with ranks ninth on the place. The actual fact he has zero sacks up to now is fluky. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Steelers have just about locked up a spot within the playoffs, with a 99.3% likelihood to make the postseason. However they’ve a 71% likelihood at profitable the AFC North, with the Ravens lurking at 29%. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Steelers broad receiver George Pickens. Pickens has been on hearth, scoring 16-plus fantasy factors in 4 of his previous six video games whereas averaging 7.6 targets. His rapport with quarterback Russell Wilson has been a catalyst for this statistical manufacturing, and now he faces a Browns protection permitting the ninth-most fantasy factors per sport to receivers. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Browns are 8-4-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) as no less than four-point underdogs beneath coach Kevin Stefanski. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Steelers 24, Browns 20
Moody’s choose: Steelers 24, Browns 10
Walder’s choose: Steelers 23, Browns 14
FPI prediction: PIT, 59.4% (by a mean of three.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jeudy’s Denver return ‘a whole lot of boos … catches’ … Steelers OLB Highsmith anticipated again Sunday … Browns carry out noodle sport celebration vs. Broncos
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: TEN -3.5 (39.5 O/U)
Jaguars storyline to look at: With Trevor Lawrence on injured reserve (concussion/shoulder), quarterback Mac Jones now begins a five-game audition for an opportunity to compete for a possible beginning job in 2025. It is going to be powerful: The Titans have the league’s top-ranked cross protection (permitting 171.8 yards per sport). Jones struggled in his two begins this season, main the Jaguars to a mixed 13 factors and 313 yards. — Michael DiRocco
Titans storyline to look at: The Titans’ run protection was gashed for 264 yards by the Commanders final week. It is going to be vital for Tennessee to bounce again in opposition to the Jaguars, who will probably be with out Lawrence. “We have got to get again to stopping the run, populate the road of scrimmage and correctly match out gaps,” defensive coordinator Dennard Wilson mentioned. “We won’t permit what occurred final week to occur once more. It is time for us to bow up and present what we actually can do in opposition to the run sport.” — Turron Davenport
Stat to know: The Jaguars have 9 straight street losses relationship to final season, which is the longest energetic streak within the NFL.
Daring prediction: Titans kicker Nick People will go 4-for-4 on discipline objectives, together with two from 50-plus yards. He has quietly was one of many easiest kickers within the NFL and is 11-of-12 from 50-plus yards the previous two seasons. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Jaguars and Titans are each among the many seven groups with one of the best odds on the No. 1 choose within the 2025 NFL draft, per ESPN’s FPI. Jacksonville is in third, at present holding a 20.7% likelihood on the high choice. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Titans broad receiver Calvin Ridley. Final week, the revenge sport narrative labored out for Browns receiver Jerry Jeudy (40.5 fantasy factors in opposition to the Broncos). Now, Ridley faces his former crew, the Jaguars, who permit the third-most fantasy factors per sport to broad receivers. He has seen eight or extra targets in 5 of his previous eight video games. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS of their previous six video games. Jones is 3-14 ATS in his previous 17 begins. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Titans 24, Jaguars 14
Moody’s choose: Titans 28, Jaguars 14
Walder’s choose: Jaguars 19, Titans 16
FPI prediction: TEN, 58.8% (by a mean of three.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why the Jaguars positioned QB Lawrence on injured reserve … WR Burks to overlook remainder of season with knee damage
0:29
Why Tyler Fulghum likes the beneath in Titans-Jaguars
Tyler Fulghum explains why he likes the beneath within the Titans-Jaguars matchup.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: MIA -5.5 (44.5 O/U)
Jets storyline to look at: Aaron Rodgers & Co. nonetheless are in search of their first 30-point sport. The final time the Jets went this far into the season with out scoring 30 in a sport was in 2020, once they completed 2-14 with no 30-point video games. However historical past says it will not occur this week. The offense has scored solely three touchdowns up to now six journeys to Miami. The Jets’ final 30-point efficiency in Miami was in 2014, which additionally was their final win in South Florida. — Wealthy Cimini
Dolphins storyline to look at: After final week’s loss to the Packers, the Dolphins most likely must win out to maintain their distant playoff hopes alive. Fortunately for them, quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has by no means misplaced to the Jets. The Dolphins’ lone loss to New York since 2020 got here in 2022 when Tagovailoa was injured. Sunday’s sport is also a bounce-back alternative for a Miami run sport that has averaged 63.3 yards per sport over the previous 4 weeks. The Jets’ protection has allowed greater than 107.3 speeding yards per sport in that very same span. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to know: Rodgers now has 34 consecutive begins with fewer than 300 passing yards. No different quarterback has an energetic streak of no less than 20 begins.
Daring prediction: A Dolphins broad receiver will catch a 40-plus-yard landing on a go route or deep fade. Miami has the bottom charge of throws of 20-plus air yards within the league this yr, however the Jets run the single-high protection 64% of the time (third most). The Dolphins might take a shot or two downfield in opposition to a struggling Sauce Gardner. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Dolphins’ possibilities on the playoffs will improve to 13.8% with a win and drop to 2.3% with a loss (unbiased of different outcomes), per ESPN Analytics. The Jets could be eradicated from the playoffs with a loss. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Tagovailoa. The Jets’ protection has struggled, permitting 24-plus fantasy factors to 4 quarterbacks since Week 6. Tagovailoa has scored 23-plus fantasy factors in three straight video games. He has the supporting forged and an offensive-minded head coach in Mike McDaniel to take full benefit of this matchup. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Jets are 0-3 ATS as underdogs this season and 2-9 ATS of their previous 11 video games as underdogs. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Dolphins 28, Jets 17
Moody’s choose: Dolphins 24, Jets 20
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 24, Jets 20
FPI prediction: MIA, 57.2% (by a mean of two.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Rodgers: Hope to complete effectively, however not out to show something … Chilly climate affected Dolphins, LB Brooks says
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: MIN -6 (45.5 O/U)
Falcons storyline to look at: Quarterback Kirk Cousins is coming off maybe the worst three-game stretch of his 13-year profession going right into a street sport in opposition to his former crew. The stress is definitely on given the Falcons’ three-game dropping streak has price them their once-commanding NFC South lead. Cousins has six interceptions up to now three video games, and the Vikings lead the league within the class (18). — Marc Raimondi
Vikings storyline to look at: Quarterback Sam Darnold‘s previous three video games have been his better of the season, with a mixed 811 yards, seven whole touchdowns and no interceptions. His efficiency will probably be on heart stage Sunday as he’s enjoying at a notably larger stage than his predecessor, Cousins, and with a $10 million contract that may be a fraction of the Falcons QB’s deal. Coach Kevin O’Connell says Darnold is enjoying with “nearly a surgical stage of ‘doing my job’ and never making an attempt to do an excessive amount of, but in addition understanding that ‘my job is perhaps to attempt to put a ball in a decent window right here and there.'” — Kevin Seifert
Stat to know: Cousins is the primary quarterback with zero passing touchdowns and 6 interceptions in a six-game span since Cleveland’s Brian Hoyer in 2014.
0:36
Why Tyler Fulgham is shopping for the underdog Falcons this week
Tyler Fulgham explains why he likes the Falcons plus the factors vs. the Vikings.
Daring prediction: Darnold will throw for 300 yards and will not be sacked. Minnesota has a serious benefit within the trenches on offense because it ranks fifth in cross block win charge (68.1%). The Falcons rank twenty ninth in cross rush win charge (32.9%). — Walder
What’s at stake: Based on ESPN Analytics, the Falcons have the very best likelihood on the NFC’s fourth seed (30%), and the Vikings have the very best likelihood on the fifth seed (49%). Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Vikings broad receiver Justin Jefferson. Darnold faces a Falcons protection permitting the eighth-most fantasy factors to quarterbacks, which straight advantages Jefferson, who’s averaging 8.3 targets per sport. Atlanta additionally provides up the third-most receptions to receivers. Count on a giant day from Jefferson and Jordan Addison. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in opposition to groups with profitable information this season (0-4 ATS up to now 4). Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Vikings 24, Falcons 21
Moody’s choose: Vikings 38, Falcons 27
Walder’s choose: Vikings 27, Falcons 26
FPI prediction: MIN, 62.8% (by a mean of 4.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: What QB Cousins, Falcons must do to regain playoff kind … NFC North: Will Lions, Vikings or Packers win the division? … How new QB Jones impacts Vikings, Darnold, McCarthy
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: NO -4 (40.5 O/U)
Saints storyline to look at: With Taysom Hill out for the season (torn ACL), the Saints are actually with out three offensive gamers who had been chargeable for 11 touchdowns: Hill, RB Rashid Shaheed (knee) and WR Chris Olave (concussion). Meaning they will probably proceed to lean on receivers Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Kevin Austin Jr., two gamers the crew has leaned on up to now three video games beneath interim coach Darren Rizzi. The Saints are getting more healthy in different methods, although, with operating again Kendre Miller and broad receiver Bub Means returning to apply. — Katherine Terrell
Giants storyline to look at: The Giants try to snap a seven-game skid and can achieve this with Drew Lock beginning at quarterback. Coach Brian Daboll mentioned he is going with Lock as a result of he did some good issues in opposition to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, and so they wish to see what he can do with a full week of preparation. He’ll get an opportunity in opposition to New Orleans’ protection, which ranks twenty ninth in passing yards per sport (249.1). — Jordan Raanan
Stat to know: Saints quarterback Derek Carr has a 6-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio since returning in Week 9 from an indirect damage. That is probably the most passing touchdowns with out an interception by any quarterback in that span.
Daring prediction: Giants operating again Tyrone Tracy Jr. will common no less than 5 yards per carry. This ought to be doable contemplating the Saints have the Thirty first-ranked run protection by EPA (minus-14.68). — Walder
What’s at stake: Because it stands, the Giants have a 31% likelihood to earn the No. 1 draft choose in 2025, which is the very best by any crew within the league, per ESPN Analytics. That determine will soar to 42% with a loss to the Saints and would fall to 10% with a win. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Saints tight finish Juwan Johnson. New Orleans is operating low on receiving playmakers. Final week, in opposition to the Rams, Johnson caught 5 of seven targets for 36 yards. Whereas the matchup in opposition to the Giants is troublesome for tight ends, the targets ought to nonetheless be there. Johnson may very well be a stable pickup this week for managers scrambling for choices in deeper codecs. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Over the previous three seasons, the Saints are 7-15 ATS as favorites. They’re 0-1 outright in that function this season. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Saints 28, Giants 16
Moody’s choose: Saints 27, Giants 20
Walder’s choose: Saints 22, Giants 16
FPI prediction: NO, 64.5% (by a mean of 5.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Torn ACL ends Saints TE Hill’s season … Giants’ Nabers on ‘drops’ feedback, up-and-down rookie yr
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: PHI -13 (45.5 O/U)
Panthers storyline to look at: The Eagles have NFL speeding chief Saquon Barkley, who’s averaging 124.9 yards per sport. The Panthers are permitting a league-worst 160.1 speeding yards per sport, together with 236 yards final week in opposition to Tampa Bay. That is just about all it’s essential know, apart from the truth that Panthers quarterback Bryce Younger is enjoying effectively, passing for 263-plus yards in every of the previous two video games. He has not had an interception in three straight video games. — David Newton
Eagles storyline to look at: Philadelphia’s protection has been enjoying at an elite clip since its Week 5 bye. The Eagles are first in factors allowed (13.4 per sport), yards per play (4.1), sacks (30) and compelled fumbles (15) from Week 6 on. They will face a Carolina offense that ranks thirtieth in each yards (292) and factors per sport (18.1). — Tim McManus
Stat to know: With a loss, Younger could be the fourth quarterback since 2000 to lose 20 of his first 25 profession begins, becoming a member of Blaine Gabbert (2011-13), Justin Fields (2021-22) and Trevor Lawrence (2021-22), who all began 5-20.
Daring prediction: Eagles linebacker Zack Baun will report 12-plus mixed tackles. The Panthers have run the ball effectively these days, and I feel they are going to depend on the bottom sport as a result of their receivers will battle to get open in opposition to the Eagles’ secondary. Baun is recording a deal with on 17% of performs. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Panthers will probably be eradicated from playoff rivalry with a loss, marking their seventh straight season with no playoff look (the longest drought in franchise historical past). Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Eagles broad receiver A.J. Brown. Barkley is about to dominate as a result of the Panthers quit probably the most fantasy factors to operating backs. However remember about Brown, who’s in an incredible spot in opposition to Carolina cornerback Jaycee Horn. With the success DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans had in opposition to Horn just lately, Brown has the potential to be a high receiver this week. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Each groups enter this sport on four-game cowl streaks, that are tied for the longest energetic streak within the NFL. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Eagles 28, Panthers 24
Moody’s choose: Eagles 28, Panthers 16
Walder’s choose: Eagles 23, Panthers 10
FPI prediction: PHI, 85.7% (by a mean of 16.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Bucs’ Mayfield thinks Panthers’ Younger can ‘do something he desires’ … Secret of the Eagles’ 2024 success? Protection has achieved a 180
0:38
Why Tyler Fulghum is laying the factors with the Eagles
Tyler Fulghum particulars why he expects the Eagles to win massive vs. the Panthers.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: TB -6.5 (46.5 O/U)
Raiders storyline to look at: Can Raiders rookie tight finish Brock Bowers proceed his report ascent in opposition to the NFL’s No. 30 cross protection (258.3 yards allowed per sport)? Bowers, who has 27 catches and two touchdowns in his previous three video games mixed, wants solely three receptions in opposition to the Buccaneers to surpass Sam LaPorta‘s year-old report for many catches by a rookie tight finish in a single season. LaPorta caught 86 passes for the Lions in 2023. — Paul Gutierrez
Buccaneers storyline to look at: The Bucs are 2-0 since their bye week. A win mixed with a Falcons loss would transfer them into sole possession of first place within the NFC South. Over the previous two weeks, the Bucs have averaged 196.5 yards on the bottom — fourth greatest within the league. However star rookie operating again Bucky Irving is coping with a hip pointer, and the Raiders are first rate in opposition to the run (eleventh within the league, giving up 114.75 yards per sport). — Jenna Laine
Stat to know: The Buccaneers had their third additional time sport in 2024 in opposition to the Panthers final week (26-23 win). Another OT matchup would set a franchise report for a single season.
Daring prediction: Raiders defensive deal with Adam Butler will report no less than 4 mixed tackles, matching a season excessive. Butler at present has a 43% run cease win charge at defensive deal with, which ranks third highest on the place. — Walder
What’s at stake: Tampa Bay and Atlanta are tied for one of the best report within the NFC South, although the Falcons have the head-to-head benefit. Per ESPN’s FPI, the Buccaneers are nonetheless the slender favourite within the division with a 50% likelihood on the title. The Falcons are at 49%. Learn extra.
Accidents: Raiders | Buccaneers
Fantasy X issue: Irving. He had an enormous sport final week, with 28 touches, 152 speeding yards and 27.5 fantasy factors (all season-highs for this rookie class). Towards a Raiders protection that enables 22.7 fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, he is a robust begin this week. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell is 11-2 ATS in his profession, which is one of the best mark of any quarterback within the Tremendous Bowl period with no less than 10 begins. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Buccaneers 30, Raiders 24
Moody’s choose: Buccaneers 30, Raiders 20
Walder’s choose: Buccaneers 26, Raiders 22
FPI prediction: TB, 57.4% (by a mean of two.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Might Deion Sanders be within the combine for the Raiders? … Rookie RB Irving explodes as Bucs rally for OT win vs. Panthers
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: ARI -2.5 (44.5 O/U)
Seahawks storyline to look at: Leonard Williams will look to proceed his current tear in opposition to the crew it started in opposition to two weeks in the past. The veteran defensive deal with recorded 2.5 sacks, three tackles for loss and a cross defensed within the Seahawks’ Week 12 win over Arizona, which he mentioned ought to have earned him NFC Defensive Participant of the Week honors. Williams obtained that after one other dominant efficiency in Seattle’s win over the Jets, when he recorded two extra sacks and three extra tackles for loss, blocked a PAT and scored on a 92-yard pick-six, the longest by a defensive lineman in NFL historical past. Can the Cardinals block him in Sunday’s rematch? — Brady Henderson
Cardinals storyline to look at: The Cardinals’ crimson zone struggles have been magnified by dropping their previous two video games. If they’ll enhance on their 16.7% charge from Sunday and 38.5% clip over the previous three video games, they might avenge the loss to Seattle from two weeks in the past. All week, the Cardinals have talked about execution being the principle issue of their crimson zone struggles and the way small modifications might make the distinction in opposition to the Seahawks. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to know: Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray had a 15.0 QBR when pressured over the previous two video games after coming into Week 12 with one of the best QBR (84.9) within the NFL when pressured.
0:32
Why JSN is a top-15 receiver in Week 14
Liz Loza explains why Jaxon Smith-Njigba is slotted as a top-15 receiver heading into his Week 14 matchup vs. the Cardinals.
Daring prediction: Williams will keep scorching scorching with no less than 1.5 extra sacks. Each Cardinals guards, Evan Brown and Trystan Colon, have under common cross block win charges. — Walder
What’s at stake: Based on ESPN Analytics, the winner of this sport will develop into the favourite to win the NFC West, whereas the loser may have a 20% or much less likelihood to win the division. Learn extra.
Accidents: Seahawks | Cardinals
Fantasy X issue: Seahawks broad receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He scored 19-plus fantasy factors in three of his previous 4 video games and noticed 10-plus targets in two of them. With the Cardinals’ secondary struggling in opposition to slot receivers, he is in a wonderful place to ship. He is on the WR1 radar this week, so get him in your lineup for Week 14. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Cardinals have coated three straight house video games, and the Seahawks have coated three straight street video games. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Cardinals 28, Seahawks 26
Moody’s choose: Seahawks 27, Cardinals 20
Walder’s choose: Cardinals 27, Seahawks 24
FPI prediction: ARI, 57.4% (by a mean of two.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Seattle trying to repair particular groups fast amid NFC West race … Cardinals signal RB Conner to 2-year extension
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: BUF -3.5 (49.5 O/U)
Payments storyline to look at: The Payments want to lengthen a seven-game profitable streak once they head out west. A win would tie the second-longest streak in franchise historical past. To do this, Buffalo’s run protection will probably be examined once more going through Rams operating again Kyren Williams, who has 24 straight video games with no less than 50 scrimmage yards, the second-longest energetic streak within the NFL. He is also coming off a 100-yard speeding efficiency. The Payments’ protection gave up the second-most yards post-contact per rush (3.00) final week within the snow. — Alaina Getzenberg
Rams storyline to look at: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford‘s 77 Complete QBR in his previous three video games is the second greatest within the NFL in that span, second solely to Payments quarterback Josh Allen, in line with ESPN Analysis. Stafford has eight passing touchdowns in his previous three video games, the second most within the NFL since Week 11. He hasn’t thrown an interception in these three video games. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to know: The Rams have back-to-back house losses (Dolphins in Week 10 and Eagles in Week 12). They’re trying to keep away from matching their longest house dropping streak since Sean McVay grew to become coach in 2017.
Daring prediction: Payments backup operating again Ray Davis will rating a landing. It is principally only a intestine feeling, however I anticipate the Payments to get out to a little bit of a lead, and the Rams’ run protection ranks twenty eighth in EPA (3.31). — Walder
What’s at stake: The Payments’ odds to be the No. 1 seed within the AFC enhance to 53% with a win and fall to 26% with a loss (unbiased of different outcomes), in line with ESPN Analytics. The Rams’ possibilities on the NFC playoffs improve to 34% with a win and fall to 16% with a loss. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Payments operating again James Cook dinner. Cook dinner is positioned for an additional massive sport in opposition to a Rams protection that enables the fifth-most speeding yards per sport to operating backs (144.2). He scored 19-plus fantasy factors in three of his previous 5 video games and ought to be busy as each a runner and receiver. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Rams are 3-9 ATS within the first quarter this season. Rams first-half unders are 9-3. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Payments 34, Rams 28
Moody’s choose: Payments 34, Rams 24
Walder’s choose: Payments 27, Rams 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 63.1% (by a mean of 5.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: S Hyde re-signs with Payments, says he’ll retire after season … RB Williams sparks Rams’ offense in opposition to Saints
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: SF -4 (43.5 O/U)
Bears storyline to look at: Chicago appears to snap a six-game dropping streak (tied for the Bears’ third longest in a season since 2000) in Thomas Brown’s first sport as interim head coach after Matt Eberflus was fired on Nov. 29. Brown will transfer from the coaches sales space to the sideline the place he’ll proceed to name offensive performs. Quarterback Caleb Williams has made important strides with Brown as his playcaller, having thrown 232 consecutive passes with out an interception, the longest streak by a rookie in NFL historical past. Williams is looking for his third straight sport with a number of passing touchdowns and nil interceptions. — Courtney Cronin
49ers storyline to look at: The banged-up 49ers will probably be relying on rookie operating again Isaac Guerendo to choose up the slack for injured backs Christian McCaffrey (knee) and Jordan Mason (ankle). Guerendo has flashed in small doses, averaging 5.9 yards on 42 makes an attempt, the fourth-best mark of any operating again with no less than 40 carries. The Bears are yielding 4.9 yards per carry (twenty ninth within the NFL) and have given up 57 rushes of 10-plus yards (tied for sixth most), which suggests there ought to be some big-play alternatives for Guerendo in his first NFL begin. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to know: The Bears are the primary crew since turnovers had been first tracked in 1933 to lose six straight with out committing a number of turnovers in any of these video games.
Daring prediction: 49ers broad receiver Jauan Jennings will report 100-plus receiving yards and a landing. After two meager-ish weeks for Jennings (certainly one of which was within the snow), I anticipate him to have one other massive day. ESPN’s receiver scores have him at third greatest amongst all broad receivers and tight ends. — Walder
What’s at stake: The 49ers enter with an 8% likelihood to make the playoffs, per ESPN Analytics. That will increase to 12% with a win and drops to 2% with a loss. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Guerendo. San Francisco is feeling the impression of dropping McCaffrey and Mason to injured reserve. The 49ers will now flip to rookie Guerendo, who has been environment friendly with 0.78 fantasy factors per contact. He is moving into an incredible matchup in opposition to a Bears protection permitting the fourth-most speeding yards per sport and 5.0 yards per carry to operating backs. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bears are 8-15 ATS of their previous 23 video games as street underdogs. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Bears 28, 49ers 21
Moody’s choose: 49ers 28, Bears 21
Walder’s choose: 49ers 23, Bears 20
FPI prediction: SF, 61.5% (by a mean of 4.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Contained in the Bears’ firing of Matt Eberflus … 49ers RBs McCaffrey, Mason each headed to IR … Bears sticking with GM Ryan Poles; will lead seek for coach
0:33
Schefter: CMC, Jordan Mason headed to IR
Adam Schefter particulars who will lead the 49ers’ backfield after accidents to Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason.
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: KC -4 (42.5 O/U)
Chargers storyline to look at: The Chargers are 3-18 in opposition to the Chiefs since 2014, together with six straight losses. Quarterback Justin Herbert is 2-7 in opposition to the Chiefs in his profession. The video games usually come all the way down to how effectively the Chargers’ offensive line protects Herbert. Within the two wins, the Chiefs pressured Herbert on 26% of his dropbacks, whereas in losses, he was pressured on 36% of his dropbacks. — Kris Rhim
Chiefs storyline to look at: The Chiefs had certainly one of their higher video games of the season defensively in opposition to the Chargers in Week 4, once they held Herbert and the Los Angeles offense to 10 factors and 220 yards. However can they repeat that sort of efficiency? The Chiefs have been a gentle contact on protection for a lot of of their current opponents. That they had two-touchdown leads over the Panthers two weeks in the past and the Raiders final week and nonetheless needed to scramble on the finish for the victory. — Adam Teicher
Stat to know: The Chiefs have received 14 consecutive video games by one rating or much less, which is the longest streak in NFL historical past.
Daring prediction: Chargers defensive deal with Poona Ford will report no less than half a sack in opposition to quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The thrill on Ford is deserved, as his 12% cross rush win charge at defensive deal with ranks seventh on the place. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Chiefs can clinch their ninth straight AFC West title with a win. Per ESPN Analytics, their odds to earn the No. 1 seed improve to 61% with a win and drop to 33% with a loss. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Herbert. Kansas Metropolis’s protection permits the fewest fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, so the Chargers may lean extra on the passing sport. He has thrived in opposition to the Chiefs up to now, averaging 22.5 fantasy factors per sport in his profession. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS of their previous six video games. No crew has ever gone on to win the Tremendous Bowl in the identical season it had a six-game ATS dropping streak. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Chargers 30, Chiefs 28
Moody’s choose: Chargers 28, Chiefs 27
Walder’s choose: Chargers 21, Chiefs 17
FPI prediction: KC, 61.6% (by a mean of 4.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Would a win over Chiefs seal Chargers’ contender standing? … Do Chiefs lastly have proper man to guard Mahomes’ blindside?
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ | ESPN BET: CIN -5 (49.5 O/U)
Bengals storyline to look at: A floor assault may very well be one of the best strategy for the Bengals in opposition to the Cowboys. Over the previous 4 video games, Dallas has been one of many worst groups in allowed yards per carry (5.4, Thirty first) whereas being nice at defending the cross (tied for second with 5 interceptions and tied for first with 16 sacks). Leaning on operating again Chase Brown might relieve the stress on the passing sport and assist Cincinnati snap a three-game dropping skid. — Ben Child
Cowboys storyline to look at: Dallas will probably be in search of its first three-game profitable streak of the season with a victory Monday to maintain its faint playoff hopes alive. The Cowboys are 7-1 at house in opposition to the Bengals, their greatest house report in opposition to any opponent in franchise historical past. They’ve received 5 straight general in opposition to Cincinnati, together with two seasons in the past when quarterback Cooper Rush led a final-minute drive to beat Joe Burrow. However this time, Burrow is the NFL’s main passer and directs the sixth-highest-scoring offense (26.6 factors per sport). — Todd Archer
Stat to know: Though not as spectacular as quarterbacks Dak Prescott and Roger Staubach, who received 9 of their first 10 begins with the Cowboys, Rush’s 7-3 report is healthier than Troy Aikman (0-10) and Tony Romo (6-4).
Daring prediction: Cowboys broad receiver CeeDee Lamb will report his second sport 100-plus receiving yards this season. He’s getting open as traditional — he has a robust 75 open rating in ESPN’s receiver scores — however his catch rating is a whopping zero. Even with Rush throwing to him, I might anticipate that second quantity to return again to regular going ahead. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Bengals maintain a 2% likelihood to make the playoffs, whereas the Cowboys maintain a 1% likelihood. Learn extra.
Fantasy X issue: Brown. He’s on a roll with 20-plus touches and 19-plus fantasy factors in three of his previous 4 video games. Now, he faces a Cowboys protection that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy factors to operating backs. He’s arrange for an additional massive sport due to his potential as a runner and receiver. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bengals are 5-1 ATS on the street this season. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS at house. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Bengals 30, Cowboys 24
Moody’s choose: Bengals 35, Cowboys 26
Walder’s choose: Bengals 31, Cowboys 23
FPI prediction: CIN, 66.1% (by a mean of 6.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Burrow reveals he purchased $2.9 million Batmobile … Cowboys’ protection revitalized since Parsons’s return … Zac Taylor, Lou Anarumo shoulder blame amid Bengals’ skid
