Head-to-Head and Prediction for US Open 2025
The strain is on at Flushing Meadows, and one query sits on each fan’s thoughts: Can Daniil Medvedev shake off a rocky yr and reclaim his New York magic when he clashes with Benjamin Bonzi? This matchup isn’t nearly redemption for Medvedev; it’s additionally about whether or not Bonzi can again up his Wimbledon upset on the sport’s largest summer season stage. With the highlight brighter than ever, each males step onto the US Open courtroom with a degree to show.
How Will Daniil Medvedev Reply to Benjamin Bonzi After Wimbledon Upset?
The 2025 U.S. Open kicks off with a compelling conflict as former champion Medvedev opens his marketing campaign towards French challenger Bonzi. Medvedev arrives in New York desperate to reset after a turbulent season. The defending champion hasn’t lifted a title this yr and is but to seek out consistency in Grand Slams. His draw this yr spotlights a number of powerful early-round matches, and his encounter with Bonzi guarantees to be a charming one proper out of the gate.
DANIIL MEDVEDEV AND CORENTIN MOUTET PLAY ONE OF THE MOST INSANE MATCH POINTS YOU’LL EVER SEE.
Tennis. 🤯🤯🤯🤯
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) July 25, 2025
Medvedev’s 2025 season has been a curler coaster. Whereas reaching the semifinals in Indian Wells and shedding within the remaining at Halle provided glimpses of his elite type, the highlights have been sparse. The previous world No. 1 has suffered early exits in any respect three prior Grand Slams, together with a surprising first-round loss to Bonzi at Wimbledon. He at present sits simply exterior the Prime 10. In the meantime, Bonzi has put collectively bursts of momentum, with a stirring run in Cincinnati. This included notable wins over Musetti, Arnaldi, and even Stefanos Tsitsipas to enrich his earlier upset of Medvedev at Wimbledon.
What Are the Key Stats Heading Into the Medvedev vs. Bonzi US Open Showdown?
- Date: Aug. 24, 2025
- Match: US Open
- Spherical: First Spherical
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King Nationwide Tennis Middle, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York Metropolis
- Class: Grand Slam
- Floor: Out of doors exhausting
- Stay telecast: ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Stay TV, YouTube TV, and Sling TV
How Does the Head-to-Head Between Medvedev and Bonzi Impression This Matchup?
Up to now, the rivalry between Medvedev and Bonzi has seen two official matches, with Bonzi successful each; their head-to-head stands at 2-0. The latest encounter between the 2 gamers was recorded within the first spherical of Wimbledon 2025, the place Bonzi defeated Medvedev in a four-set showdown, 7-6 (2), 3-6, 7-6 (3), 6-2.
That marathon battle lasted about 3 hours and seven minutes, performed underneath scorching situations that prompted a 10-minute warmth break. With this historical past, the stress heading into their New York battle is unmistakable.
Can Daniil Medvedev’s Arduous-Court docket Sport Overpower Bonzi on the US Open?
Medvedev holds a win-loss file of 26–17 for the season, giving him a 60.5% successful share. On exhausting courts throughout his profession, he ranks among the many high 25 for key return indicators, successful 31.6% of first-serve return factors, 54.3% of second-serve return factors, and 28.1% of return video games.
Again in NYC with the 🐊 @lacoste. https://t.co/PSr7R9TtMW pic.twitter.com/K1h7es98pg
— Daniil Medvedev (@DaniilMedwed) August 22, 2025
Against this, Bonzi’s 2025 general win–loss file is 10–16, a win fee of about 38.5%. His observe file in indoor hard-court matches this yr exhibits he’s nonetheless trying to find momentum. This distinction highlights Medvedev’s clear edge in consistency and return power on exhausting courts.
Medvedev’s skill to win return factors at a excessive fee means he can reliably management matches with out relying solely on his serve. On the opposite facet, Bonzi’s general 2025 serve information exhibits 140 aces, 55 double faults, a first-serve share of 64%, first-serve factors received at 69%, and second-serve factors received at 53%. So whereas Bonzi can fireplace in sturdy first serves, his inconsistency on second serves offers Medvedev loads of probabilities to interrupt serve, a actuality for all returners dealing with double faults and low second-serve percentages.
Trying on the numbers already on the board, Medvedev’s confirmed hard-court success, his elite return stats, and Bonzi’s up-and-down season, it’s simple to see why the previous champ is the favourite.
Prediction: Medvedev to win in straight units
