Why Fantasy Managers Are Lastly Shopping for Into the Bears RB
The fantasy soccer group has been sleeping on D’Andre Swift, however the Chicago Bears working again is quietly rising as some of the intriguing worth performs heading into 2025.
Whereas many managers stay skeptical after his inconsistent 2024 marketing campaign, the underlying metrics and altering circumstances counsel Swift may very well be primed for a major bounce-back season.
The Market Is Lastly Catching On To D’Andre Swift
Swift’s rising inventory amongst savvy fantasy managers tells a compelling story. His 55.9% trade-for price within the PFSN Commerce Analyzer since June 1st ranks ninth amongst all gamers, putting him forward of established stars like Bijan Robinson and Josh Jacobs.
This surge in curiosity isn’t occurring in a vacuum. Fantasy managers are recognizing the right storm of circumstances aligning for Swift’s potential breakout.
The Bears’ offensive transformation underneath new head coach Ben Johnson represents essentially the most important think about Swift’s favor. Johnson’s observe report of maximizing working again manufacturing throughout his tenure as Detroit’s offensive coordinator is well-documented, and Swift himself thrived in that system again in 2022.
The reunion couldn’t come at a greater time for a participant whose effectivity numbers took a nosedive in Chicago’s dysfunctional 2024 offense.
D’Andre Swift = High 10 RB in 2025? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/instance
— NFL Fantasy Soccer (@NFLFantasy) Might 22, 2025
Effectivity Features Level to Upside
Regardless of Chicago’s offensive struggles, Swift confirmed marked enchancment in a single essential space that always will get neglected. His 1.59 PPR factors per goal in Caleb Williams’ rookie season represented a 16.9% enhance from his Eagles tenure and marked the second-best price of his five-year profession. This effectivity achieve turns into much more spectacular when contemplating the Bears’ general offensive limitations.
Swift’s receiving prowess has at all times been his fantasy soccer calling card, and the chemistry he developed with Williams all through 2024 bodes effectively for elevated goal share in Johnson’s pass-heavy system. The brand new offensive coordinator has traditionally utilized working backs extensively within the passing recreation, averaging over 4 targets per recreation to the place throughout his Detroit tenure.
The quantity was actually there final season, as Swift dealt with 253 carries and 295 complete touches whereas taking part in each recreation for the primary time in his profession. Nonetheless, his career-low 3.8 yards per carry highlighted the systemic points plaguing Chicago’s floor recreation.
With important offensive-line upgrades and Johnson’s scheme enhancements following a 2024 season the place the Bears completed with a No. 30 rating in PFSN’s Offense + Rankings, these effectivity numbers ought to see substantial enchancment.
Situational Utilization Reveals Hidden Worth
Whereas the Bears ranked a disappointing twenty fifth in general rush price, digging deeper into their situational tendencies reveals encouraging traits for Swift’s 2025 outlook. Chicago ranked 14th in rush price when video games remained aggressive (rating differential of six factors or much less), demonstrating its dedication to establishing the bottom recreation in significant conditions.
This break up turns into essential when projecting ahead to 2025. The Bears’ improved offensive infrastructure ought to result in extra aggressive video games, naturally rising the conditions the place they lean on their floor assault. Johnson’s offensive philosophy emphasizes controlling the sport via environment friendly speeding and quick passing, which ought to translate to elevated alternatives for Swift in high-leverage moments.
The touchdown-regression narrative additionally works closely in Swift’s favor. His six speeding touchdowns in 2024 fell effectively in need of his 9.2 anticipated complete, representing one of many largest adverse variances amongst certified working backs. Crimson-zone inefficiency plagued the complete Bears offense, however Swift’s 9.7% red-zone landing price ranked fourth lowest amongst backs with 30-plus alternatives.
The Path to RB1 Manufacturing
Swift’s fantasy factors per recreation consistency all through his profession supplies a dependable flooring that many overlook. He’s completed between 12.5 and 13.7 PPR factors per recreation over the past three seasons whereas sustaining top-24 working again standing in 52.9%-57.1% of weeks. This observe report suggests his 2024 struggles had been extra scheme-related than talent-based.
The ceiling projection turns into much more attractive when contemplating Johnson’s offensive system. Swift averaged 16.2 fantasy factors per recreation throughout his final season underneath Johnson’s coordination in Detroit, ending because the RB8 regardless of lacking time as a consequence of harm. With a full season of well being and an improved supporting forged, these numbers might climb considerably increased.
Present ADP information exhibits Swift being chosen because the RB26 round choose No. 75 general, representing distinctive worth for a participant with reputable top-12 upside. The market hasn’t totally adjusted to Johnson’s hiring or the Bears’ offensive-line enhancements, making a window of alternative for astute fantasy managers.
For these contemplating trades to accumulate Swift, the PFSN Commerce Analyzer can assist consider truthful compensation packages. His rising trade-for price suggests now may be the final probability to accumulate him earlier than his worth peaks.
The narrative surrounding Swift has been overwhelmingly adverse, however the underlying metrics paint a distinct image. Johnson’s arrival, improved offensive infrastructure, and optimistic landing regression all level towards a major bounce-back marketing campaign.
Fantasy managers keen to look previous the surface-level issues may very well be rewarded with one among 2025’s largest worth performs on the working again place.
